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The IEA joins the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries in raising its oil demand growth forecast for 2023. Demand in 2023 has been supported by resilient U.S. deliveries and record September demand from China, the IEA said. SLOWDOWN IN VIEWFor 2024, the IEA raised its oil demand growth forecast to 930,000 bpd from 880,000 bpd. OPEC and the IEA have clashed in recent years over issues such as the long-term oil demand outlook and the need for investment in new supplies. The IEA said the 2024 demand slowdown will arise as "the last phase of the pandemic economic rebound dissipates and as advancing energy efficiency gains, expanding electric vehicle fleets and structural factors reassert themselves."
Persons: Pascal, Brent, Natalie Grover, Alex Lawler, David Goodman, Jason Neely, David Evans Organizations: IPC Petroleum France, REUTERS, International Energy Agency, OPEC, IEA, Organization of, Petroleum, Thomson Locations: Soudron, Reims, France, Paris, Saudi Arabia, Russia, China, Libya, OPEC, Saudi, London
LONDON, Oct 12 (Reuters) - The International Energy Agency (IEA) lowered its oil demand growth forecast for 2024 on Thursday, suggesting harsher global economic conditions and progress on energy efficiency will weigh on consumption. The Paris-based agency in its monthly report lowered its 2024 demand growth forecast to 880,000 barrels per day (bpd) from its previous forecast of 1 million bpd. However, it raised its 2023 demand forecast to 2.3 million bpd from a forecast of 2.2 million. In September, global benchmark Brent hit 10-month highs after Saudi Arabia and Russia extended their combined 1.3 million bpd cuts until the end of the year. However, prices dropped dramatically last week as a darkening macroeconomic outlook intensified fears of slower demand growth, eclipsing supply concerns.
Persons: Natalie Grover, Alex Lawler, Jason Neely Organizations: International Energy Agency, OPEC, Brent, Thomson Locations: Paris, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Russia, London
Still, oil demand at the world's biggest oil importer has so "far remained remarkably unaffected by its economic downturn", the IEA said. Estimates of global demand and supply this year and next differ markedly depending on the forecaster. The IEA estimates 2023 global demand to grow by 2.2 million bpd, while OPEC expects growth of 2.44 million bpd. The IEA expects growth to slow sharply to 1 million bpd, while OPEC has a far rosier estimate of 2.25 million bpd. Meanwhile, the U.S government's Energy Information Administration has forecast demand growth at 1.81 million bpd for 2023 and 1.36 million bpd next year.
Persons: Jean, Paul Pelissier, Tamas Varga, PVM, Natalie Grover, Alex Lawler, Louise Heavens, Jason Neely Organizations: REUTERS, Rights Companies, Rights Companies Danang Petroleum Machinery Technology JSC, International Energy Agency, OPEC, Brent, IEA, U.S government's Energy, Administration, Thomson Locations: Marseille, France, Rights Companies Danang, Saudi Arabia, Russia, OPEC, United States, Brazil, Iran, China, Asia, Africa, Latin America, London
"Deepening OPEC+ supply cuts have collided with improved macroeconomic sentiment and all-time high world oil demand," the Paris-based energy watchdog said in its monthly oil market report. The IEA said that in July, global oil supply plunged by 910,000 bpd in part due to a sharp reduction in Saudi output. But Russian oil exports held steady at around 7.3 million bpd in July, the IEA said. Next year, demand growth is forecast to slow sharply to 1 million bpd, the IEA said, citing lacklustre macroeconomic conditions, a post-pandemic recovery running out of steam and the burgeoning use of electric vehicles. The IEA's demand growth forecast is down by 150,000 bpd from last month and contrasts with that of OPEC, which on Thursday maintained its forecast that oil demand will rise by a much stronger 2.25 million bpd in 2024.
Persons: Alexander Manzyuk, Brent, Natalie Grover, Alex Lawler, Jason Neely, David Evans Organizations: REUTERS, International Energy Agency, IEA, of, Petroleum, for Economic Co, Development, OPEC, Thomson Locations: Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, OPEC, Paris, China, London
LONDON, Aug 11 (Reuters) - The International Energy Agency (IEA) on Friday said demand growth for oil next year will be slower than previously forecast, citing lacklustre macroeconomic conditions, a post-pandemic recovery running out of steam and the burgeoning use of electric vehicles. Growth is forecast to slow to 1 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2024, the Paris-based energy watchdog said in its August monthly oil market report, down by 150,000 bpd from its previous forecast. In 2023, global oil demand is set to expand by 2.2 million bpd, buoyed by summer air travel, increased oil use in power generation and surging Chinese petrochemical activity. Demand is forecast to average 102.2 million bpd this year, with China accounting for more than 70% of growth, despite concerns about the economic health of the world's top oil importer. Demand hit a record 103 million bpd in June.
Persons: Natalie Grover, Alex Lawler, Jason Neely Organizations: International Energy Agency, IEA, Thomson Locations: Paris, China, London
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